Who will win March Madness in 2022? Vegas betting odds, favorites, sleepers to win the NCAA Tournament

The clocks have flipped, spring has sprung, and the best sporting occasion of the 12 months is nearly right here. That is proper -- It is time for March Insanity! Your entire favourite March traditions are again, from not with the ability to discover TruTV in your menu information to asking what state Gonzaga is in. Whereas all of the upsets, continuous snacking, and pretend sick days are nice, you possibly can actually add to your enjoyable by profitable some critical money. That requires going over the favorites, sleepers, and longshots within the Vegas betting odds for who will win the 2022 NCAA Event.

Regardless that 68 groups are at present vying for the possibility to win all of it, most informal followers most likely assume only some are real looking contenders. Perhaps, however that does not imply you must ignore the 5 and 6 seeds of the world. There's betting worth with these varieties of groups, and if a sleeper like Houston cuts down the nets in New Orleans on April 4, then daily will probably be Mardi Gras for whoever bets on them. Sprinkling at the least just a little cash on a pair sleepers and perhaps a longshot or two is a great approach to diversify your portfolio even in case you guess large on one or two of the highest seeds.

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In contrast to final 12 months with the undefeated 'Zags, there is not a clear-cut favourite. Even when there was, we noticed final 12 months how that may work out. Gonzaga as soon as once more has the shortest odds (+300) however the gulf between the 'Zags and the next-best workforce, Arizona (+650), is not as vast. Regardless, it is all about discovering worth, which presents itself in quite a lot of methods. From in search of favorable attracts to finding out the superior stats, it is necessary to soak up as a lot data as attainable.

MORE: Print your 2022 March Insanity Bracket right here

2022 NCAA Event Odds

Up to date odds courtesy of DraftKings sportsbook

Groups Odds
Gonzaga +300
Arizona +650
Kentucky +800
Kansas +850
Baylor +1200
Auburn +1200
Villanova +1400
Tennessee +1400
Duke +1600
UCLA +1800
Purdue +2000
Texas Tech +2200
Iowa +2200
Houston +2800
Illinois +5000
UConn +8000
Arkansas +8000
Texas +10000
Michigan State +10000
Memphis +10000
Wisconsin +10000
Saint Mary's +12000
North Carolina +12000
LSU +15000
Loyola Chicago +15000
Michigan +15000
Alabama +15000
Virginia Tech +15000
Ohio State +20000
USC +20000
San Diego State +20000
Boise State +20000
San Francisco +25000
Windfall +25000
Davidson +25000
TCU +25000
Murray State +25000
Indiana +30000
Miami (FL) +30000
Marquette +30000
Creighton +35000
Colorado State +35000
Vermont +40000
Iowa State +40000
UAB +50000
Notre Dame +50000
Richmond +50000
New Mexico State +60000
Chattanooga +60000
Wyoming +60000
South Dakota State +60000
Colgate +70000
Longwood +80000
Montana State +80000
Yale +80000
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi +100000
Cal-State Fullerton +100000
Norfolk State +100000
Akron +100000
Jacksonville State +100000
Texas Southern +100000
Wright State +100000
Georgia State +100000
Delware +100000
Bryant +100000

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Who will win the NCAA Event in 2022?

It is at all times tempting to choose all 4 of the highest seeds to make the Last 4 when making your bracket picks. It simply is sensible, proper? Nicely, probably not contemplating the variety of instances all 4 No. 1s have made the Last 4 is equal to the variety of instances a 16 has overwhelmed a 1 -- simply as soon as. Should you assume you are slick going with the "three plus one" methodology, properly, that does not occur typically both -- simply 5 instances.

Whereas it is unlikely all the prime 4 seeds make it to New Orleans, a type of prime 4 nonetheless has a terrific probability of profitable all of it, which is why they're 4 of the highest 5 groups on the percentages board. Let's take a better have a look at the 4 prime seeds.


By now, everybody is aware of about Gonzaga's failure to win all of it. They have been shut a number of instances, however the 'Zags simply can not seem to recover from the hump. Is that this the 12 months? There is a good probability. Not solely does Gonzaga have the attainable No. 1 general decide on this 12 months's NBA Draft (Chet Holmgren), but it surely additionally has what appears to be a good draw. Gonzaga's second spherical matchup is perhaps one of many more durable ones for a No. 1 seed, and each No. Four Arkansas and No. 5 UConn are within the prime 20 in Kenpom's rankings, however potential Elite Eight foes Duke and Texas Tech have as many Quad 1 wins between them as Gonzaga does by itself.

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Baylor is not nearly as good as final 12 months's title-winning squad, however with 9 Quad 1 wins, it is tied with Gonzaga and Kansas for essentially the most within the nation. What's robust for the Bears is that they're in the identical area as Kentucky, who truly has shorter odds (+800). Throw in a high-quality Purdue workforce because the No. Three seed, an skilled UCLA squad coming off a Last 4 run of its personal final 12 months because the No. 4, and a really stable Saint Mary's unit because the No. 5, and it is robust to really feel nice about wagering on the Bears. All 5 of the groups simply talked about are within the prime 16 within the Kenpom Rankings, and with underseeded Virginia Tech and San Francisco (see beneath) additionally within the East, it is honest to say Baylor is within the "Area of Dying." Somebody has to win it, but when you are going to guess on a No. 1, Baylor ought to most likely be your final selection regardless of.

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All issues thought of, Kansas obtained a fairly favorable draw. Wisconsin (No. 3) and Windfall (No. 4) are by far the worst groups at their respective seeds, in line with the Kenpom Rankings, and the No. 6 seed, LSU, simply misplaced its coach. Now, none of that basically issues if Kansas performs a stable Iowa workforce within the Candy 16 and Auburn and potential top-overall NBA decide Jabari Smith within the Elite 8, however general, the Jayhawks are in first rate place to make a deep run.


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Arizona's odds appear out of whack for a way robust its draw is. Many thought third-seeded Tennessee ought to have been within the dialogue for prime seed, whereas fifth-seeded Houston ranks larger within the Kenpom Rankings than Kansas. All informed, there are 5 groups in Kenpom's prime 17 on this area. To make issues worse, Arizona has simply six Quad 1 wins this 12 months -- three fewer than the opposite three No. 1 seeds. Clearly, Arizona is a extremely gifted workforce, which is why it has such quick odds, however like Baylor, that is one other No. 1 to be considerably cautious of.

March Insanity sleepers

The time period "sleeper" is at all times a subject of debate. Should you solely consider groups with a "reputable" probability to win the championship as a sleeper, you then're caught calling a bunch of three seeds "sleepers." That is boring. Others go deep with their definition and embody seeds a lot nearer to the double-digit vary.

As a result of we wish to attraction to a large viewers, we'll settle someplace in the midst of the 2 definitions and determine one workforce from every area that provides intriguing worth at its present odds. Some are greater longshots than others, however like we stated earlier than, it by no means hurts to diversify.

South: Houston Cougars (+2800)

As we stated in Arizona's part above, the South is a brutal area with 5 groups within the prime 17 of Kenpom's rankings, however fifth-seeded Houston (No. 5) ranks above all of them besides Arizona. The Cougars additionally rank third in common margin of victory (+16.9). Clearly, their schedule has so much to do with that, however Houston additionally has loads of expertise after final 12 months's Last 4 run. The shortage of Quad 1 wins (1) is an enormous concern, however the odds are good sufficient for at the least just a little sprinkle.

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West: UConn Huskies (+8000)

Fifth-seeded UConn is within the prime 35 in each adjusted offense and protection within the Kenpom Rankings. Gonzaga is the one different workforce in its area that may declare that. The 'Zags are additionally the one different workforce within the West with extra Quad 1 wins than UConn's six. Clearly, this can be a stable workforce that is been via some battles this 12 months, and the very fact it is fourth within the nation in common of margin of victory (+10) exhibits it could possibly actually put it on opponents, too. Perhaps the Huskies have one other deep run in them.

East: Virginia Tech (+15000)/San Francisco Dons (+25000)

As a result of the East has two of the 5 groups with the shortest odds (Baylor and Kentucky), it is robust to discover a sleeper who feels prefer it has a reputable shot to even make it out of the area. Fifth-seeded Saint Mary's (+12000) is a stable workforce with a pleasant quantity, however we determined to go large with 10th-seeded San Francisco and 11th-seeded Virginia Tech. Most agree that the Hokies are severely underseeded, and contemplating they rank fourth within the nation in three-point share, it is easy to think about them getting sizzling from deep and happening a run. After all, it is simply as simple to think about them shedding within the second spherical to third-seeded Purdue, who's third in three-point share, however that is no enjoyable. 

Should you actually wish to dwell dangerously, go together with the Dons, who're No. 21 in Kenpom's rankings and have a formidable 5 Quad 1 wins this 12 months. Sure, beating Murray State, Kentucky, Purdue, and Baylor simply to get out of its area appears not possible, however at +25000, it is value just a little one thing.

Midwest: LSU Tigers (+15000)

Glass half-empty: LSU will probably be in disarray as a result of its coach was fired lower than per week earlier than the beginning of the NCAA Event. Glass half-full: LSU will come collectively as a workforce and be extra targeted as a result of its coach was fired lower than per week earlier than the beginning of the NCAA Event. Select your individual journey right here, however one factor is for certain: LSU Is a gifted workforce. The sixth-seeded Tigers rank 19th within the Kempom rankings, a lot larger than the Midwest's No. 3 (Wisconsin) and No. 4 (Windfall) seeds and never too far behind the No. 5 seed (Iowa). Kansas and Auburn are a brutal prime two, however rating sixth within the nation in defensive effectivity is one thing the tough-minded Tigers will at all times be capable of hold its hat on.

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