College Football DFS: DraftKings Main Slate Week 4 Picks and Lineup Strategy

CFB DFS Picks: DraftKings Essential Slate Week Four Performs and Lineup Technique

It is Week Four of the school soccer season. There was a slight chill within the air this morning right here in Atlanta and it seems like soccer season is in full bloom. However there's additionally an virtually haunting air to every little thing. One thing feels off. It isn't the spooky season setting in. No, no. There's one thing much more unsettling and unfamiliar proper in entrance of us. 

That is proper; Kansas and Duke are undefeated and taking part in a significant recreation of soccer this weekend. 

Kansas has gotten off to a wild begin with spectacular wins at West Virginia and Houston. SP+, which is rather a lot smarter than I'm, is not fairly prepared to purchase into the Rock Chalk life-style simply but – KU ranks simply 81st total by that metric – however I'm. The trio of Jalon Daniels, Devin Neal and Daniel Hishaw has been a revelation in Lawrence. Kansas ranks in factors per recreation. Behind, after all, Michigan and James Madison.

On the opposite aspect, Duke checks in at 90th in SP+ and is a seven-point highway underdog on this spot. the SMU-TCU recreation will undoubtedly draw lots of DFS consideration this week however this KU-Duke matchup has the second-highest complete on the board and each groups are anticipated to attain 29-or-more factors. 

People, we have choices on this slate. Let's check out the matchups and the performs I am concentrating on by place.

Faculty Soccer DFS Instruments

  • DraftKings Lineup Optimizer
  •  Matchups Web page (Vegas odds, opponent averages, and so on.)
  • Superior Lineups Web page
  • Stats
  • Group Tendencies
  • Targets
  • Protection vs. Place
  • Group Rankings
  • NEW: Superior Group Stats

Matchup Data

Faculty Soccer DFS Performs: Quarterback

Jalon Daniels ($7,900) Kansas vs. Duke

Daniels ranks seventh amongst FBS quarterbacks in fantasy factors per recreation at 32.7 and he isn't simply stacking numbers in opposition to FCS or low-level G5 groups. He is doing all of it, operating for 237 yards at practically a 9.zero YPC clip to go together with a 67 % completion price, 8.1 YPA and a 7:1 TD:INT. Possibly these charges aren't sustainable, however I do not suppose Duke is the staff to derail this prepare. His speeding manufacturing and skill to throw touchdowns might be key right here as a result of we won't count on gaudy passing quantity, so there's some threat, however I believe this recreation delivers on the hype (I can not consider that is an actual sentence I am writing a couple of Kansas-Duke soccer recreation). 

Duke's Riley Leonard is an fascinating run-back possibility on the opposite aspect of this recreation; He is finishing over 70 % of his passes and including some speeding manufacturing (147 yards and two touchdowns on 22 makes an attempt). I will attempt to have a number of lineups with heavy publicity to this recreation and it begins with Daniels and, to a lesser extent, Leonard.

J.J. McCarthy ($7,700) Michigan vs. Maryland

McCarthy has appeared nice since taking on as Michigan's starter, finishing 26 of 30 passes for 443 yards (14.Eight YPA) and three touchdowns. Positive, these begins have come in opposition to Hawaii and UConn, however that stage of effectivity is spectacular and it is not like McCarthy is an unknown; he appeared strong as a real freshman final season. Michigan is in a smash spot Saturday and whereas lots of it could come on the bottom, McCarthy needs to be arrange for 25+ go makes an attempt with excessive effectivity and he can run a bit, too, with 34 profession rushes for 197 yards and three scores. 

Tanner Mordecai ($7,800) SMU   and Max Duggan ($7,100) TCU  

There is no approach round it. This recreation has every little thing we search for in a DFS slate. Excessive complete? Examine. It is 70.5, the very best by 5.5 factors. Shaky defenses? Examine. Neither rank within the high 60 in defensive SP+. SMU is the extra up-tempo, pass-happy outfit at 76 performs per recreation and a 54.Four % go price whereas TCU has been extra methodical, although its pattern is more durable to parse with simply two video games beneath its belt (Colorado and Tarleton State). TCU is coached by SMU's coach from final 12 months when the Mustangs averaged 74.2 performs per recreation with a 53 % go price. 

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Each Duggan and Mordecai are sturdy performs this week; it is not overly cost-prohibitive to place each in your lineup however when you add Rashee Rice, you begin needing to get artistic with the remainder of your lineup. I am extra inclined to stack SMU pass-catchers as a result of I belief SMU's quantity and Mordecai's passing capability greater than TCU's and Duggan's, although Duggan and his speeding upside make him a superb one-off. 

In all, this is a vital recreation to get publicity to, particularly in money video games. Some GPP publicity may even be necessary within the occasion that this recreation actually does pop off. However I might cease in need of having each lineup that includes this recreation within the curiosity of getting leverage on the sphere if it finally ends up being a dud. This can be a large enough slate to the place you will discover different video games to stack.

Cameron Ward ($5,000) Washington State   vs. Oregon

This feels trappy. Simply $5,000 for the quarterback at Washington State? Oregon is a powerful staff, final week confirmed that. However $5K? You possibly can roster Ward for lower than you'll be able to DJ Uiagalelei? Or Quinn Ewers with one arm? Hmm. 

Ward's numbers aren't far off from the place they have been when he was at Incarnate Phrase by way of completion price (65.Four at Wazzu, 63% at IW, 7.zero YPA at Wazzu, 7.7 at IW). After all, the landing price is not as gaudy – he threw 47 in 13 video games final season and has eight by means of three video games this season, with seven coming in opposition to Idaho and Colorado State. 

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Nonetheless, it is not unreasonable to count on that Ward can return worth at $5,000. Asking for a efficiency just like the one in opposition to Colorado State could also be a bridge too far, however he ought to fare higher at residence in opposition to the Geese than he did on the highway at Wisconsin. 20 DK factors and you will have executed nicely for your self by rostering Ward.

Faculty Soccer DFS Performs: Operating Again

Operating again is a spot to pay up for this week. Mohamed Ibrahim ($9,600) was unstoppable final week and even when Michigan State has a pulse on protection in a approach that Colorado didn't, the Gopher workhorse is a lock to provide. Quantity, explosiveness, landing upside; you title it, Ibrahim has it. Bijan Robinson ($8,300) is a powerful possibility as nicely; he is getting practically 20 touches per recreation and has six complete touchdowns by means of three video games. Texas Tech is not slowing him down, I do not care what its run protection metrics say after three weeks. Blake Corum ($7,900) is absolutely fascinating, too; he is after all coming off a five-touchdown efficiency in opposition to UConn. With Michigan remaining mum on Donovan Edwards' standing, it will not be stunning to see the Wolverines unleash Corum in a recreation that they've typically proven no mercy in beneath Jim Harbaugh. Kendre Miller of TCU is the wildcard; $7,700 is expensive for a man with simply 21 carries in two video games however SMU may need hassle slowing TCU's speeding assault. 

Blake Corum ($7,900) Michigan vs. Maryland

This is likely to be my favourite operating again play of the week. Michigan goes to attain north of 40 factors Saturday and it is not unreasonable to have a multi-touchdown baseline expectation for Corum. He averages practically 7.zero yards per carry and has scored in each recreation so far. If Maryland retains this even mildly aggressive by means of the primary half, Corum ought to simply skate previous his earlier season-high for carries (13). 

Audric Estime ($5,100) Notre Dame   at North Carolina 

UNC has lots of issues on protection that will not be solved by a bye week. This might be Drew Pyne's first highway begin, so this units up as a run-heavy recreation plan for the Irish. Estime hasn't been explosive along with his alternatives simply but (3.5 YPC) however he has seen double-digit carries in back-to-back weeks, together with a career-high 18 in a detailed recreation vs. Cal final week. He is rocked up at 5-foot-11, 227 kilos and will be capable of begin tearing off chunk runs because the UNC protection will get gassed. Chris Tyree has the extra established monitor document within the Irish backfield however Estime is likely to be beginning to take over because the lead again, or at the least carving out a featured function in a committee. Estime additionally caught all three of his targets for 43 yards final week. 

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Devin Neal ($7,200) Kansas   vs. Duke

If I've spent this a lot time on Kansas, I've acquired to say Neal as nicely. Neal has been some of the explosive operating backs within the nation so far, averaging 7.29 YPC and operating for 4 touchdowns on 28 carries. He has additionally caught each his targets for 27 yards and a rating. The amount has been irritating relative to his per-touch effectivity, in order that makes him considerably dangerous at this price ticket as there's an opportunity we see him get an underwhelming workload. Nevertheless, these quantity figures are trending in the best path as he is gotten 10 and 14 carries within the final two video games. 14 carries in opposition to the Duke protection ought to ship way over the 54 yards they did in opposition to Houston final week. Daniel Hishaw ($5,500) is a pleasant, low-cost pivot who can also be a lot concerned on this offense with double-digit carries in back-to-back video games. 

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Others to Take into account: Will Shipley ($6,700) Clemson at Wake Forest; Nicholas Singleton ($6,400) Penn State vs. Central Michigan.

Faculty Soccer DFS Performs: Vast Receiver

Rashee Rice ($8,600) SMU   vs. TCU

The highest receiver on this slate does not want a lot of an introduction. Rice averages 11.2 YPT on 14.7 targets per recreation and has three touchdowns by means of three video games. A 37 % share of a staff that throws it 41 instances a recreation is uh, fairly onerous to disregard. The one query with Rice on this slate is what you are able to do with the remainder of your construct whereas paying up for him.

 For those who're searching for cheaper SMU choices, Jake Bailey ($6,200) is not precisely a cut price however he was spectacular in opposition to Maryland final week. Moochie Dixon ($3,000) is in some way nonetheless min-priced; he has at the least 4 targets in each recreation. The effectivity is not nice with eight grabs and a 4.Eight YPT however he is clearly concerned on this passing recreation and has two touchdowns. That is greater than you'll be able to say for the overwhelming majority of min-priced choices.

Cam Camper ($5,600) Indiana   at Cincinnati

A repeat advice from final week, Camper stays a viable worth play Saturday because of his elevated goal share. Camper has drawn double-digit targets in all three video games so far and has had 15-or-more in two of these. The explosiveness hasn't been there with simply 6.Eight YPT however in PPR codecs, his potential for supplying you with 10+ catches and the 100-yard bonus makes him interesting. Indiana is a reasonably important highway underdog at +16.5 so a catch-up script needs to be in play. The Hoosiers have a 58.Four % go price by means of three video games as it's and are going with severe tempo at 77.7 performs per recreation. D.J. Matthews ($5,700) is an fascinating GPP play as Camper ought to draw a better roster proportion however Matthews is the extra explosive participant (8.Four YPT on 24 targets). AJ Barner is a GPP dart throw should you want wage financial savings at $3,400; he drew seven targets final week in opposition to Western Kentucky.

Donovan Ollie ($3,500) Washington State   vs. Oregon

Washington State spreads it round an honest bit with 4 gamers over 10 targets on the season, however Ollie paces that group with 30 by means of three video games and but he is nonetheless beneath $4K this week. Oregon's go protection has given up over 300 yards in each of its video games in opposition to FBS opponents and now faces a Wazzu offense that throws it practically 60 % of the time. A Washington State passing stack is definitely fairly inexpensive this week with none of its targets priced over $5K, together with De'zhaun Stribling ($4,600). There's one different Wazzu receiver catching my eye that I will focus on within the GPP part as nicely.

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Parker Washington ($6,300) Penn State   vs. Central Michigan

$6,300 is rather a lot to sink right into a participant with 10 catches and no touchdowns by means of three video games. The breakout is coming for Washington, although, and this can be a great place for it to occur. Washington has been strong on a per-target foundation (11.Four YPT, 77% catch price) and quietly had an 800-yard season in 2021 behind Jahan Dotson. Penn State has the very best implied complete on the slate (45.5) and it is truthful to marvel if Washington might be wanted for all 4 quarters contemplating the unfold (-28). Nonetheless, if Penn State comes near hitting these figures, the passing recreation will play a giant half in it. Central Michigan has been stout in opposition to the run – even in opposition to Oklahoma State – and dreadful in opposition to the go. Taking the zoomed-out view of this recreation, $7,700 for Mitchell Tinsley is just too wealthy for my blood. Washington is extra gifted in my view and a giant recreation from him is inevitable. 

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Others to Take into account: 

  • Ronnie Bell ($7,300) and Roman Wilson ($3,900) of Michigan, particularly should you're rostering J.J. McCarthy. 
  • Duke's Jalon Calhoun ($6,100) and Eli Pancol ($3,500) are the passing recreation targets from that matchup.

Faculty Soccer DFS GPP Performs

Robby Ashford ($5,000) Auburn   vs. Missouri

I might go on about how Auburn ought to have gone with Ashford to begin the season as a result of we already know what T.J. Finley is at this level, however Auburn is getting piled on sufficient as it's. 

Anyway, Ashford will get to make his first begin in entrance of a house crowd in opposition to a nasty Missouri staff. He is nonetheless creating as a passer however he is a keen runner with athleticism to transform these carries into manufacturing. It isn't typically you may get a viable beginning quarterback at $5K on a well-liked staff, so should you're feeling like going contrarian together with your construct, Ashford differentiates you and saves you some coin. 

Emani Bailey ($3,900) TCU  at SMU

As I discussed earlier, it is onerous to parse out what TCU has executed thus far in two blowout video games. Colorado has taken the mantle because the worst Energy 5 staff and Tarleton State is an FCS program that acquired paid to take a whooping from TCU. That is all we have to date. 

TCU coach Sonny Dykes is understood for tempo and excessive passing quantity however that does not swimsuit Max Duggan's recreation fully, at the least in comparison with the injured Chandler Morris. With that, I am anticipating TCU to be balanced on this spot, partially in an effort to maintain SMU's offense on the sidelines. That may be achieved with leaning on the run recreation a bit. Kendre Miller is the lead again however at $7,700 and no assure to get 15 touches, I will hunt for worth elsewhere on this backfield. That is the place Bailey is available in; Bailey was sturdy at Louisiana with 642 yards and eight touchdowns final season. He has simply seven carries so far however they've gone for 89 yards and a landing. There's threat right here, however the reward may very well be fairly candy if Bailey will get even eight carries. 

Nick Mardner ($3,800) Cincinnati   vs. Indiana

The Hoosiers have a nasty go protection and that is whereas even forgiving them for permitting 329 passing yards to Western Kentucky final week. It is Western Kentucky. They do this. 

Mardner, a 6-foot-6 Hawaii switch, trails behind his teammates in targets with simply seven on the 12 months. He is made probably the most of these appears to be like, although, securing 5 of them for 94 yards and two touchdowns. He noticed 4 targets final week and will proceed to see a job right here. At $3,800 with upside in what needs to be a high-scoring day for the Bearcats, Mardner presents an inexpensive path to publicity to the Cincy offense.

Robert Ferrel ($3,000) Washington State   vs. Oregon

Ferrel came to visit with Cam Ward from Incarnate Phrase and made his first influence with Wazzu final week by catching all three of his targets for 64 yards. Was {that a} perform of him taking part in in a blowout recreation in opposition to Colorado State, or was that the beginning of him having a job on this offense? At $3K, I will be keen to fiddle and discover out. Ferrel caught 74 passes for 815 yards and 9 scores at Incarnate Phrase alongside Ward final season. 

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